Arsenal 2-1 Burnley: a rolling stone gathers no Moss (by the numbers)

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16 – Arsenal matches Jon Moss has refereed
14 – Times Arsenal have won when Jon Moss has refereed
2 – Red cards Jon Moss has shown to an Arsenal player in those 16 matches
2 – Red cards Jon Moss has shown to an opposition player in those 16 matches (Crystal Palace 2014, Aston Villa 2011)
2 – Red cards Jon Moss has given to Xhaka
2 – Red cards Jon Moss has given to Xhaka in his last 2 matches that he’s refereed
2 – Number of those red cards which were widely considered “harsh” with even the BBC calling the one against Swansea “not a red card” and “never a red card” because red cards have to be awarded for reckless tackles which use excessive force
2 – Penalties Jon Moss had awarded in all 16 Arsenal matches before today (both for Arsenal, both in back-to-back matches he refereed: Aston Villa 2011, Wigan 2012)
2 – Penalties Jon Moss awarded in this match today
4 – Goals Arsenal have conceded in the last 7 League matches at home
4 – Penalties the opposition have been awarded in the last 7 matches at the Emirates stadium (Burnley, Stoke, Bournemouth, Tottenham)
5 – Penalties Arsenal have been awarded this Premier League season
7 – Penalties Arsenal’s opposition have been awarded this Premier League season (2nd most in the League)
1 – Penalties Arsenal conceded last season
0 – Penalties Petr Cech has saved for Arsenal
2014 – Last time Petr Cech saved a penalty (October, for Chelsea, in the 6-0 win over NK Maribor)
28 – Percent of his penalties Cech saved before joining Arsenal (16/57)
0 – Percent of penalties Cech has saved since joining Arsenal (0/9)
25 – Percent of penalties Wojciech Szczęsny has saved in his career (12/47)
33 – Percent of penalties Wojciech Szczesny has saved at Roma (4/12)
6 – Percent of penalties Ospina has saved in his career (2/32)
0 – Penalties Ospina has saved for Arsenal (0/3)
84 – Percent of penalties scored in the Premier League since 1992
1 – Hand Cech got on the Burnley penalty today
50 – Goals Arsenal have scored in 22 games this season (2.27 goals per game average)
65 – Goals Arsenal scored last season (1.71 goals per game average)
44 – Goals Arsenal players have scored this season (not including pens (3) and own goals (3))
338 – Shots Arsenal have taken this season (minus pens)
13 – Percent of Arsenal’s shots that they are scoring
61 – Goals Arsenal scored last season (not including pens (1) and own goals (3))
570 – Shots Arsenal took last season (minus pens)
10.7 – Percent of Arsenal’s shots that they scored last season
74 – Goals Arsenal would have scored if they finished at the same rate they are finishing at this season*
65 – Percent of his passes Alexis completed against Swansea
79 – Percent of his passes Alexis completed against Burnley
3 – Chances Alexis created against Burnley (all from open play, tied with Iwobi, Xhaka, Özil, and Defour)
70 – Percent of his passes Alexis completed in the Burnley final 1/3 (26/37)
100 – Percent of his passes Özil completed in the Burnley final third in the first half (20/20)
87 – Percent of his passes Özil completed in the Burnley final third in the entire 90 minutes (34/39)
89 – Percent of his passes Ramsey completed in the Burnley final third (25/28)
86 – Percent of his passes Xhaka completed in the Burnley final third (19/22)
82 – Percent of his passes Iwobi completed in the Burnley final third (14/17)

Shots chart

As you can see from the shots chart (which maps a very basic xG metric) Arsenal jumped out to a strong start against Sean Dyche’s men notching about 1.5 goals worth of shot quality in the first half. Arsenal kept that pressure on in the second half all the way until Özil’s corner was back-headed in for Mustafi’s first Arsenal goal.

Then came the flat spot. It’s not unusual for Arsenal to settle into a defensive posture for five minutes or so after scoring a goal but that flat spot for Arsenal lasted for over 30 minutes. This is no doubt largely due to Xhaka’s red card. Burnley stepped up their attack after Arsenal were reduced to 10 men but only 0.5 a goal’s worth.

It’s actually kind of pathetic that Burnley couldn’t generate more against 10 man Arsenal. But, that’s when Jon Moss stepped in! Awarding Burnley 8 minutes of added time and a penalty. That penalty gave Burnley almost an entire goal’s worth of shot quality.

Sadly, Moss’ work was undone by the linesman who (incorrectly) missed that Koscielny was offside and (correctly) flagged for the high boot to Koscielny’s face. Arsenal were awarded their own penalty, which sent them over 3 in the shots quality metric.

I like this graphic because it shows us quickly how much the red card and penalties changed the game.

@7amkickoff

Sources: 442 Stats Zone app; Whoscored.com; Transfermarkt.com (penalty stats); my personal database

*Of course there is no guarantee that they would have taken as many shots as they did last season, though Arsenal are actually taking MORE shots this season (15.6) than last season (15.1). Still, the point is nearly miniscule differences in finishing make huge differences over the course of a season and change whether a team is a title contender or not.

Qq

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