Southampton 0-2 Arsenal: By the Numbers

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1 – Away games Arsenal have won against top 10 opponents this season (Southampton)
0.5 – Points per game average in away games against top 10 opponents by Arsenal this season
0.5 – Points per game average in away games against top 10 opponents by Sunderland this season
0.75 – Points per game average in away games against top 10 opponents by Tottenham this season

41 – Number of goals Arsenal have scored in the second half of matches this season (leads the League)
18 – Number of goals Arsenal have scored in the last 15 minutes of matches this season (second in the League behind Everton, who have 22)
11 – Number of goals Chelsea have scored in the first 15 minutes of matches this season (Leads the League)
6 – Number of goals Arsenal have scored in the first 15 minutes of matches this season (9th in the League)
37 – Number of goals Liverpool have scored in the first half of games this season (Leads the League, Chelsea are second with 33, Tottenham 3rd with 28)
23 – Goals Arsenal have scored in the first half of games this season (5 more than they have scored in the final 15 minutes)
32 – Saves that Cech has had to make in the last 15 minutes of matches this season (2nd worst behind Sunderland’s 42)
9 – Saves that Man City keepers have had to make in the final 15 minutes of matches this season (leads the League)
6 – Goals conceded by Cech in the final 15 minutes of matches this season (3rd best in the League behind both Spurs and Chelsea who have conceded just 4 goals off 18 shots on target and 21 shots on target respectively… and this next bit is really crazy)
25 – Saves Cech has made inside the 18 yard box in the final 15 minutes of games this season (2nd most behind Sunderland, again)
2 – Things Arsenal have in common with Sunderland – they can’t win in away matches against top 10 teams and they concede a shedload of shots on target in the final 15 minutes of matches. The main difference is that Sunderland have conceded 18 goals in those final 15 minutes. I don’t know how many points “Cech has earned Arsenal” with these saves. I just found this stat today.

Follow up on Alexis and his turnovers

I wrote a piece about Alexis’ turnovers over on 7amkickoff this morning and I wanted to follow that piece up with a little more data here.

Alexis had 7 turnovers today, and here I’m using just dispossessed and bad touch not bad passes or the number of times he failed a dribble, and this follows a trend I’ve noticed with him lately. Alexis’ turnover numbers have increased almost directly in relation to Arsenal’s end of season negative spiral.

Here, I created a chart that tracks his 3-match moving average over the season. Arsenal are in blue and Alexis red:

After the Swansea match Alexis’ turnovers go in clear waves. The numbers aren’t matched to the matches, the match names are just there for reference, this is a moving average. The trend for Arsenal since switching to the 352 is that turnovers are down for the club but for Alexis his end of season run-in has been clearly troubled.

The natural inclination is to say that the turnovers could be causing the losses but the opposite could be true, the losses could be causing the turnovers. Alexis could be reacting to negative scorelines by trying to do too much and thus forcing turnovers. It could also be a bit of both. Either way, there is a direct correlation between an increase in Alexis’ turnover numbers and Arsenal’s end of season poor run.

He had another 7 turnovers today but then he also went 8/10 dribbles, scored the game-winning goal and passed the ball to Ramsey for the (pre-)assist on the second goal. It’s also true that in the 23 matches of 2017 Alexis has scored or assisted 16 goals in 14 matches.

His goal scoring has dried up a bit and he has only scored 4 goals in the last 10 matches though that’s still a decent return since a goal every other match considered good for a striker. The problem is that by his own high standards this is a huge drought. He has scored or assisted 39 goals in 47 appearances for Arsenal this season. So, 4 in 10 explains why people are grumbling so much about his turnovers.

Match Stats

Unusual game today. Arsenal completed more passes, which is normal, but they also tackled more than Southampton 26-19 and forced more turnovers 26-19. Those tackle and pressure stats are unusual. I think I’ve only seen Arsenal force the opponent to make more turnovers than them a handful of times across all matches this season.

Mustafi led Arsenal with 5/5 tackles, Monreal was 4/4, and Xhaka was 3/3. Ramsey was 1/4, Holding 1/3, and Gibbs 0/2. Ozil had a comically bad tackle and went 1/2 on the day. The fact that Ozil was out there tackling makes me wonder if Wenger didn’t ask them to tackle more on the day.

Xhaka led all players with 71 passes and also led all players with 28 forward passes in the opposition final third. Alexis and Ozil were 2nd best with 27.

Ozil had a crazy 6 key passes on the day and got his reward with his first assist in 8 matches. Ramsey also got an assist but he’s in one of his now customary goals droughts. Ramsey last scored against Lincoln in the FA Cup and has just 2 goals on 57 shots for Arsenal this season. He’s one of Arsenal’s most profligate shooters, getting just 12 shots on target from his 57 attempts. This explains why he doesn’t score more.

Giroud scored his 6th substitute goal of the season and that was also his 25th Premier League headed goal. It’s great for Arsenal to have a player who can come on late and add a different dimension to Arsenal’s attack (and defense!).

@7amkickoff

Sources: Statto.com, Whoscored, my personal database and the 442 Stats Zone app

Qq

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