Man City get a referee bonus: By the Numbers

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“Alexis Turning Over a New Leaf”

11 – Number of turnovers and times dispossessed combined for Alexis
9 – Number of bad passes by Alexis
3 – Offsides by Alexis (he was the only player offside for Arsenal)
23 – Wasted possessions by Alexis (Offsides, turnovers, dispossessed, failed dribbles, and bad passes)
9 – Number of turnovers and times dispossessed by Xhaka and Ramsey combined
11 – Bad passes by Ramsey and Xhaka combined
20 – Wasted possession by Ramsey and Xhaka combined
1 – Shot by Alexis (miss)
1 – Shot by Ramsey (combined, on target)
2 – Key passes by Alexis
2 – Key passes by Ramsey
1 – Assist by Ramsey
1 – Shot by Lacazette
1 – Awful pass by Alexis after a ridiculous attempt to dribble in his own final 1/3 which put Xhaka in trouble where he was dispossessed and which led to an offside goal for City
1 – Goals Alexis has for Arsenal this Premier League season
1 – Strong suggestion that Arsene Wenger should the fuck have sold him this summer because keeping him has not proven to be a sound decision either financially or footballistically

“Defense”

8 – Missed passes by Coquelin (to be fair, all his passes were probably attempted clearances)
23 – Total passes attempted by Coquelin
4 – Tackles by Coquelin
3 – Successful tackles by Coquelin
2 – Important tackles by Coquelin which stopped a counter attack
8 – Tackles by Ramsey
3 – Successful tackles by Ramsey
5 – Times Ramsey was dribbled past
1 – Time Ramsey was ball watching as de Bruyne walked past him and then scored the opening goal
2 – Times Kolasinac shoved Sterling down in the box which the referee didn’t see
1 – Shoulder-to-shoulder challenge by Monreal which the referee miraculously saw as a foul after half-time
1 – Stats blogger who wonders if the referee had a chance to see the Kolasinac fouls and decided to have a makeup call
1 – Whole team that stopped playing for an offside which, to be fair, should the fuck have been given but wasn’t and you really have to play to the whistle

“Things Ozil did today”

47 – Attempted passes
38 – Successful passes
0 – Key passes
2 – Attempted dribbles
1 – Successful dribbles
1 – Shot
0 – On target
3 – Lost possession three times
1 – Interception
2 – Fouls committed
1 – Time he got really angry at the end of the game to show how much pashin he has for the club
1 – Strong suggestion that Arsenal should have sold Ozil this summer because keeping him has also not worked out for the club financially or footballistically

“Years Aaron Ramsey has left on his contract”

2 – Years Aaron Ramsey has left on his contract
3 – Goals Ramsey has in the Premier League for Arsenal this season
3 – Assists Ramsey has in the Premier League for Arsenal this season

“Fun with expected goals: or how I learned to stop worrying and love the referees”

4 – Shots by City in the first half
4 – Shots by Arsenal in the first half
2 – Shots on goal by City in the first half
1 – Shots on goal by Arsenal in the first half
0.26 – Expected goals for City in the first half (based just on the shots they got, NOT the great crosses they put in which were well defended by Arsenal)
0.26 – Expected goals for Arsenal in the first half
0 – Big Chances created by either team in the first half
1 – Fast Break shots created by each team in the first half

1.46 – Expected goals for City in the second half (includes a penalty adjustment of +0.70 xG and an offside goal which was a big chance)
1.15 – Amount of referee bonus for City in this match (adjusted for the pen)
0.31 – Expected goals for City in the second half without the referees bonus
0.13 – Expected goals for Arsenal in the second half*
2 – If you take away those two shots for the penalty and the offside goal this was a game where Arsenal kept City to a season low 7 shots (even with the referee bonus Arsenal did keep them to a season low 9 shots), where Arsenal kept them to a season low 0.57 expected goals (even Arsenal did keep them to a season low 1.46 total expected goals not adjusting for the penalty), and where a 1-1 result would have been more than fair.

@7amkickoff

*My system leans heavily on big chances and that Lacazette shots wasn’t a big chance. There are two ways you can look at this: either my system is stupid and that Lacazette chance should be counted higher, or Lacazette really beat the odds by shooting directly through the keeper’s legs from a sort of tight angle with all the other parts of the goal blocked off by defenders.

Qq

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